Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 3.381505 3.585127 3.801382 4.049327 4.327231 4.630881 4.990209
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 3.051932 3.316616 3.610650 3.965071 4.385679 4.875557 5.499666
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 2.784184 3.082280 3.425014 3.854873 4.389721 5.048184 5.946070
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 2.585862 2.908424 3.290502 3.787030 4.432524 5.271056 6.496854
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 2.427004 2.767856 3.182409 3.738869 4.492813 5.525345 7.148021
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 2.334460 2.700656 3.158502 3.794811 4.697457 6.011814 8.270879
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 2.172309 2.534436 2.994734 3.648207 4.602412 6.048810 8.694493
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 2.091763 2.467381 2.955255 3.667810 4.750347 6.487733 9.978854
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 2.012400 2.396459 2.904823 3.666401 4.866436 6.901136 11.407339
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1.908619 2.286925 2.793898 3.566303 4.813978 7.012883 12.252192
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 1.809252 2.178307 2.677696 3.448792 4.719548 7.032107 12.905691
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1.766957 2.145201 2.665753 3.488808 4.895275 7.613365 15.466309
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.732830 2.128896 2.687401 3.601818 5.253172 8.770144 21.681579
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.655559 2.047662 2.608312 3.545115 5.294227 9.258566 26.689334
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.578750 1.963229 2.519190 3.463811 5.277597 9.619313 32.523110
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.516210 1.896306 2.452574 3.414987 5.321172 10.182093 43.084688
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.462153 1.839058 2.397263 3.380765 5.391919 10.883627 63.045231
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.431034 1.813940 2.390452 3.432560 5.664478 12.439398 157.657992
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.366679 1.736205 2.295204 3.313203 5.523668 12.459583 238.792029
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.335031 1.706279 2.275209 3.332886 5.720553 13.987872 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.302051 1.672718 2.247102 3.334258 5.875328 15.548664 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.255742 1.616801 2.178989 3.251428 5.797155 15.928606 NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.209451 1.559308 2.105657 3.152911 5.662835 15.939225 NaN